Deportivo Garcilaso vs. Alianza Universidad Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 12 August 2025

As Deportivo Garcilaso welcome Alianza Universidad, both clubs seek redemption in the Primera Division. Garcilaso, currently 4th with 8 points, is a favourite given their unbeaten run in the last four matches. Meanwhile, Alianza Universidad sits 17th with just 3 points, hoping to recover from a rough spell with only one win in their last five games.

Match tips suggest a high-scoring game, indicating over 4.5 goals is a solid bet.

With Garcilaso scoring in 73% of their home games and Alianza’s leaky defense conceding 1.7 goals per match, this should be an exciting encounter. Coach Carlos Bustos’ men will look to capitalize on their scoring strength, particularly in the 61-75 minute mark, to secure valuable points and maintain their top-four status. Expect a more offensive approach from both sides after their previous goalless draw.

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Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting Tip

Reasons for this Betting Tip:

• Garcilaso’s recent form: Deportivo Garcilaso hasn’t lost in their last four games, showcasing a solid performance.
• Alianza Universidad’s defensive struggles: With Alianza conceding 1.7 goals on average per match and securing only one win in their last five games, their defense is vulnerable.
• Historical scoring patterns: Garcilaso has scored in 73% of their home games and consistently finds the back of the net, particularly in the 61-75 minute interval, making a high-scoring match likely.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Universidad Odds

This coming match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Universidad promises to be an intriguing clash. The odds strongly favor Deportivo Garcilaso, reflecting their superior form and standing in the league.

Deportivo Garcilaso’s odds of 1.60 highlight their dominance, having not lost in their last four matches. In contrast, Alianza Universidad, with odds of 5.03, faces an uphill battle, given their underwhelming form. A draw at 3.77 might attract cautious bettors, but it’s clear the bookmakers see a home victory as the most probable outcome.

Overall, these odds accentuate Garcilaso’s edge but also the potential for a high-scoring game, as reflected in our betting tip of over 4.5 goals.

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Recent Performance:

Deportivo Garcilaso has been in solid form recently, with their last five matches yielding two wins, two draws, and one loss:

• Atletico Grau 1 – 1 Deportivo Garcilaso (06 Aug 2025, Primera Division Clausura)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 2 – 1 Cienciano (02 Aug 2025, Primera Division Clausura)
• Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso (27 Jul 2025, Primera Division Clausura)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 3 – 0 Los Chankas (19 Jul 2025, Primera Division Clausura)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 1 Universitario de Deportes (06 Jul 2025, Primera Division Apertura)

Recently, they have averaged 1.20 goals per game and secured two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their defence has proven to be relatively sturdy, conceding an average of one goal per match over the season.
This consistency has helped them climb to 4th place in the standings with 8 points. With key players like Kevin Sandoval in good form, Garcilaso looks poised to maintain their strong performance.

Deportivo Garcilaso Key Players

Deportivo Garcilaso’s key players have been instrumental in their recent form. Their top scorer, Kevin Sandoval, who has netted 3 goals this season, will be critical in breaking down Alianza Universidad’s defense. Additionally, Patrick Zubczuk in goal has kept two clean sheets in the last five matches, demonstrating his reliability.
The expected lineup for Deportivo Garcilaso:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Zubczuk
• Defenders: José Gallardo, Aldair Salazar, Juan Lojas, Orlando Nunez
• Midfielders: Carlos Beltran, Pablo Erustes, Yuriel Celi, Enmanuel Paucar
• Forwards: Kevin Sandoval, Ezequiel Naya

Expect Garcilaso to leverage Sandoval’s attacking prowess and Zubczuk’s shot-stopping ability to exploit Alianza Universidad’s defensive weaknesses and secure valuable points.

Deportivo Garcilaso Suspensions & Injuries

Deportivo Garcilaso will have to contend without Erik Canales for the upcoming match, as he serves a one-match suspension following a red card in the previous game. Canales’ absence in defense could disrupt the team’s backline stability.

Despite this setback, the team has no reported injuries, allowing coach Carlos Bustos to field a near-full-strength squad. This provides an opportunity for players like Aldair Salazar and Juan Lojas to step up and fill the defensive void left by Canales.

Overall, while Canales’ suspension is a concern, Garcilaso’s depth in quality should help them handle the situation effectively and maintain their defensive robustness against Alianza Universidad.

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-3-2
• Key Forwards: Kevin Sandoval (3 goals this season), Ezequiel Naya
• Midfield Support: Carlos Beltran (defensive midfielder), Pablo Erustes, Yuriel Celi, Enmanuel Paucar
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Explosive attack during the 61-75-minute interval, a key period where Garcilaso has consistently found the back of the net this season.

Coach Carlos Bustos has effectively utilized a 4-1-3-2 formation that balances solid defensive play with dynamic attacking options. The team capitalizes on their strong midfield to link up play and suppress opposition advances. The tactic of focusing their offensive efforts in the crucial minutes after the hour mark has proven beneficial, contributing to their consistent scoring record at home. This well-rounded approach makes Garcilaso a formidable opponent.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Alianza Universidad Recent Performance:

Alianza Universidad’s recent form has been less than stellar, with four losses and only one win in their last five matches:

• Alianza Universidad 0 – 2 Universitario de Deportes (05 Aug 2025, Primera División Clausura)
• Asociación Deportiva Tarma 0 – 3 Alianza Universidad (31 Jul 2025, Primera División Clausura)
• Alianza Universidad 1 – 2 Ayacucho FC (26 Jul 2025, Primera División Clausura)
• Sporting Cristal 3 – 0 Alianza Universidad (20 Jul 2025, Primera División Clausura)
• ADC Juan Pablo II 1 – 0 Alianza Universidad (13 Jul 2025, Primera División Apertura)

Despite having scored an average of 0.80 goals per game, their defensive issues are evident as they’ve managed just one clean sheet in these fixtures. This poor run leaves them 17th in the standings with only 3 points, struggling to find momentum. To improve their position, coach Roberto Mosquera needs to address both their defensive frailties and offensive inconsistencies.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Alianza Universidad will rely heavily on Yorleys Mena Palacios, their top scorer with 2 goals this season, to spearhead their attack against Deportivo Garcilaso. Palacios’ ability to find the net, particularly during the 31-45 minute mark, will be crucial in breaking through Garcilaso’s defence.

The expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Pedro Ynamine
• Defenders: Gerson Iraola, Paolo Fuentes, Benjamín Ampuero, Jesus Mendieta
• Midfielders: Marcos Lliuya, Otavio Gut, Jeremy Canela, Rick Campodónico, Joffré Escobar
• Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios

Key battles on the pitch will include Palacios versus Garcilaso’s defensive duo of Aldair Salazar and Juan Lojas. For Alianza to improve their standing, both the attacking unit and the defense need to step up and perform cohesively.

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad will have to manage without Jesus Barco, who is serving a one-match suspension due to a red card in their last outing. Barco’s absence could affect the midfield’s stability and defensive contributions.

Fortunately for Alianza, there are no reported injuries, allowing coach Roberto Mosquera to field a largely full-strength team. This provides an opportunity for other midfielders, such as Marcos Lliuya and Otavio Gut, to step up and fill the void left by Barco.

While the suspension is a setback, Alianza’s squad depth will be tested as they look to secure points against Deportivo Garcilaso despite this challenge.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-1-1
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios (2 goals this season)
• Midfield Setup: Marcos Lliuya (defensive midfielder), Otavio Gut (defensive midfielder), Jeremy Canela (right wing), Rick Campodónico (attacking midfielder), Joffré Escobar (left wing)
• Defensive Struggles: Only one clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Alianza Universidad tends to score most of their goals between 31-45 minutes.

Coach Roberto Mosquera’s preferred 4-4-1-1 formation aims to leverage Yorleys Mena Palacios’ attacking abilities while fortifying the midfield with Lliuya and Gut. Alianza Universidad looks to exploit gaps in Garcilaso’s defence by capitalizing on the attacking runs from their wingers and intermittent pressure through the middle. However, they must address their defensive vulnerabilities, which have recently cost them dearly, to have any chance against a solid Garcilaso side.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head Statistics

In their most recent encounter on 7 March 2025, the match between Alianza Universidad and Deportivo Garcilaso ended in a 0-0 stalemate. This previous draw offers little insight, as both teams have had contrasting seasons since then.
Historically, these two teams have met infrequently, making each matchup a fresh and unpredictable affair. With Garcilaso currently positioned 4th and Alianza lingering at 17th in the standings, the upcoming match on 12 August 2025 holds significant importance for both teams in their respective campaigns.
Expect both teams to emerge more offensively oriented, aiming to break the deadlock from their last encounter and secure much-needed points.

Venue and Weather

The stadium details for this match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Universidad are not specified. However, the weather forecast for 12 August 2025 suggests mild conditions, which could be favorable for both teams to play an open and attacking game.

Mild weather often benefits fast-paced football, allowing players to maintain high energy levels throughout the match. Deportivo Garcilaso, known for their scoring surge between the 61-75 minute mark, might leverage these conditions to press high and exploit Alianza Universidad’s defensive frailties.

Conversely, Alianza Universidad will need to manage their tempo and make timely substitutions to counteract Garcilaso’s offensive assaults effectively. Overall, the weather should allow for a fluid match, conducive to a high-scoring encounter as suggested by our betting tip.

Odds accurate as of 11/08/2025 13:11, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.