Atletico de San Luis vs. Toluca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 August 2025

Looking ahead to a thrilling Liga MX clash, Atletico de San Luis will host Toluca at Estadio Alfonso Lastras on 30 August 2025. With Toluca currently sitting 6th on the table with 10 points and Atletico de San Luis in 10th with 6 points, both teams will aim to climb the standings.

Toluca comes into this game as the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 2.02 for an away win. However, they should not underestimate Atletico de San Luis, who have shown solid form offensively, averaging 2.60 goals in their last five matches.

Expect a dynamic encounter with both teams likely to find the back of the net. Joao Pedro, San Luis’s top scorer with six goals, poses a significant threat to Toluca’s defence, which has been leaky at times, conceding in 83% of their matches.

Our recommended bet is for both teams to score, given the offensive strength and historical head-to-head results.

Atletico de San Luis vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tip

Atletico de San Luis vs Toluca Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score (Yes)	1.67

Best Bet Recommendation: Both Teams to Score (Yes)

Reasoning: Both Atletico de San Luis and Toluca have demonstrated a consistent pattern of scoring and conceding goals in their recent matches. Atletico de San Luis has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Toluca matches have had both teams score in 60% of their last 5 as well. Additionally, Toluca’s strong offensive form, with an average of 2.17 goals scored per match, combined with Atletico de San Luis’s average of 1.50 goals scored per match, further supports the likelihood of both teams finding the net. The historical head-to-head record also suggests an open game, making "Both Teams to Score (Yes)" a strong betting option.

• Atletico de San Luis averages 1.50 goals per match, while Toluca averages 2.17.
• Historical encounters indicate an open game with both teams likely scoring.
• Both teams have strong offensive capabilities, shown by their recent match outcomes.

Atletico de San Luis vs Toluca Odds

In this pivotal Liga MX clash, the bookmakers have labelled Toluca as the favourites to win. However, Atletico de San Luis is not too far behind in the odds, suggesting the game might be a closely contested affair.

Atletico de San Luis vs Toluca Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Atletico de San Luis	3.17
Draw	3.63
Toluca	2.02

Toluca’s favoritism is indicative of their higher league position and recent form, although their defensive vulnerabilities suggest that Atletico de San Luis has a fighting chance, especially at home. With both teams showing strong scoring capabilities and an interesting head-to-head history, the odds for a draw also look tempting for punters.

Expect a dynamic game where surprises could be on the cards. It’s also worth noting the odds for both teams to score, as both sides have strong offensive stats.

Atletico de San Luis Team Analysis

Atletico de San Luis Recent Performance

Atletico de San Luis has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, registering two wins, two losses, and one draw. Their recent performance is as follows:

• Queretaro FC 3 – 2 Atletico de San Luis (Loss)
• Puebla 0 – 2 Atletico de San Luis (Win)
• Atletico de San Luis 1 – 2 Cruz Azul (Loss)
• Minnesota United 0 – 2 Atletico de San Luis (Win)
• Real Salt Lake 2 – 2 (Penalties: 1 – 4) Atletico de San Luis (Draw)

In these games, they’ve averaged 2.6 goals per match and have kept two clean sheets. This showcases their offensive abilities, driven by top scorer Joao Pedro who has netted six goals in six matches this season.

Despite sitting 10th on the league table with 6 points, their ability to score consistently makes them a formidable side, particularly at home. Expect a strong showing as they aim to climb up the standings.

Atletico de San Luis Key Players

In terms of pivotal players, Joao Pedro stands out as Atletico de San Luis’s main offensive threat. He has scored six goals in six matches, making him a key figure in breaking down Toluca’s defence. His finishing abilities will be crucial in capitalizing on any chances created.

Alongside him, Mateo Klimowicz and Yan Phillipe in midfield are essential for orchestrating attacks and providing service to Joao Pedro. The return of Rodrigo Dourado will also bolster their midfield, providing the balance between defence and attack.

Expected Lineup for Atletico de San Luis:

• Goalkeeper: Andres Sanchez
• Defenders: Jose Javier Suarez, Juanpe, Eduardo Aguila, Aldo Cruz
• Midfielders: Rodrigo Dourado, Sebastien Salles Lamonge, Miguel García, Mateo Klimowicz, Yan Phillipe
• Forward: Joao Pedro

Watch out for the duel between Joao Pedro and Toluca’s centre-backs Bruno Méndez and Federico Pereira, which could be decisive in the outcome of the match.

Atletico de San Luis Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico de San Luis will have to cope without the services of Oscar Macias, who is doubtful with a thigh injury, and Cesar Ivan Lopez, who is out until at least mid-April 2026 with a cruciate ligament injury.

Moreover, they will miss Juan Manuel Sanabria due to a red card suspension, which adds to their challenges in defence. Sanabria’s absence could disrupt their backline solidity as he has been a key defender.

These absences may force coach Guillermo Abascal to make tactical adjustments, potentially affecting the team’s chemistry and overall performance. The bench players will need to step up in such an important fixture to cover these gaps.

With these changes, it’s crucial for the likes of Rodrigo Dourado and Joao Pedro to maintain their form to give Atletico de San Luis a fighting chance.

Atletico de San Luis Tactics and Formation

Atletico de San Luis Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Joao Pedro, who has netted six goals in six matches this season.
• Midfield Trio: Rodrigo Dourado, Sebastien Salles Lamonge, Mateo Klimowicz.
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong offensive play, averaging 2.60 goals per match in recent fixtures.

Atletico de San Luis will likely adopt an aggressive mindset, focusing on pushing the ball forward quickly to Joao Pedro. The midfield trio will play a crucial role in linking defence and attack, while the presence of Dourado adds stability. Expect them to exploit Toluca’s defensive frailties, particularly in the 31-45 minute interval where Toluca is most vulnerable this season.

This blend of offensive prowess and tactical flexibility makes them a formidable opponent, even if Toluca comes in as the favourites.

Toluca Team Analysis

Toluca Recent Performance

Toluca has experienced a mixed run of form lately, evident from their recent performances:

• Cruz Azul 1 – 0 Toluca (Loss)
• Toluca 0 – 0 (Penalties: 5 – 6) Orlando City (Loss)
• Toluca 1 – 1 Club Universidad Nacional (Draw)
• FC Juarez 0 – 2 Toluca (Win)
• Toluca 2 – 1 New York City FC (Win)

In these fixtures, Toluca has averaged 2 goals per match and managed to keep one clean sheet. Their current position of 6th in the league with 10 points reflects a solid but inconsistent start to the season.

Their offensive capabilities are strong, as demonstrated by their average goal-scoring rate. However, their defence has allowed goals in most matches, indicated by only one clean sheet in the last five games. This mix of solid attack and leaky defence sets the stage for interesting matchups ahead.

Toluca Key Players

For Toluca, the spotlight is on Helinho, who despite being doubtful with a thigh injury, has been the team’s top scorer with three goals this season. His potential absence could impact Toluca’s offensive dynamic, placing more responsibility on the likes of Alexis Vega and Paulinho to maintain their goal-scoring tempo.

In defence, Bruno Méndez and Federico Pereira will need to step up significantly to handle Joao Pedro, who is in fine form for Atletico de San Luis. The midfield, anchored by Hector Herrera, will be crucial in dictating the pace and providing defensive support.

Expected Lineup for Toluca:

• Goalkeeper: Hugo Gonzalez
• Defenders: Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo
• Midfielders: Marcel Ruiz, Nicolas Castro, Franco Romero
• Attackers: Juan Pablo Domínguez, Paulinho, Ernesto Alexis Vega

Key battles to watch include the midfield clash between Hector Herrera and the San Luis trio, as well as the duel between Joao Pedro and Toluca’s central defenders.

Toluca Suspensions & Injuries

Toluca is dealing with a couple of injury concerns heading into this match. Helinho, their top scorer with three goals, is doubtful due to a thigh injury. His potential absence could hamper Toluca’s attacking prowess. Luan is also on the injury list with a knock and remains doubtful.

Fortunately for Toluca, there are no suspensions to contend with, allowing them to field a relatively strong side. Nonetheless, these injuries could force coach Antonio Mohamed to make some tactical adjustments.

The team will need key players like Alexis Vega and Paulinho to step up in Helinho’s absence and ensure the attack remains potent. The depth of the squad will be tested, but Toluca has the quality to adapt.

Toluca Tactics and Formation

Toluca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Ernesto Alexis Vega, expected to lead the line in Helinho’s potential absence.
• Midfield Trio: Marcel Ruiz, Nicolas Castro, Franco Romero.
• Defensive Strength: They have managed one clean sheet in their last five matches.
• Notable Strategy: Toluca tends to start strong, often scoring in the first 30 minutes, but they also have a weak spot, conceding goals between the 31-45 minute interval.

Toluca will likely focus on attacking football, leveraging their strong offensive lineup. With the absence of Helinho, more will be expected from Alexis Vega and Paulinho to spearhead the attack. The midfield trio will be tasked with maintaining possession and providing the necessary support to the forwards, while staying alert defensively.

Their key to success will be to target Atletico de San Luis during the periods when they are known to concede goals, while maintaining defensive discipline to counteract their opponent’s offensive threats. Mohamed’s tactical tweaks will be crucial, especially given some key injuries.

Atletico de San Luis vs Toluca Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head record between Atletico de San Luis and Toluca strongly favours Toluca in recent years. In their last five encounters:

• Toluca 1 – 0 Atletico de San Luis (2025-04-17, Liga MX Clausura)
• Toluca 2 – 1 Atletico de San Luis (2024-08-25, Liga MX Apertura)
• Atletico de San Luis 1 – 5 Toluca (2024-04-20, Liga MX Clausura)
• Toluca 3 – 1 Atletico de San Luis (2023-10-29, Liga MX Apertura)
• Toluca 2 – 0 Atletico de San Luis (2023-02-26, Liga MX Clausura)

Toluca has emerged victorious in all five games, showcasing their dominance in this matchup. San Luis will be eager to turn the tide, particularly at home. Given this history, Toluca’s resilience and effectiveness in front of goal have proven too much for Atletico de San Luis to handle.

Despite the challenging head-to-head record, Atletico de San Luis’s current form and offensive capabilities, led by Joao Pedro, make this an intriguing fixture to watch.

Odds accurate as of 28.08.2025 02:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.