Leganes vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 January 2025

The mid-afternoon clash on 18 January 2025 sees Leganes taking on La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid at Estadio Butarque. With Atletico’s impressive form of five consecutive victories and topping the league table with 44 points, they’re favorites to strengthen their lead. Leganes, positioned 16th, have been inconsistent and are just three points above the relegation zone.

Under coach Diego Simeone, Atletico’s defense has been rock-solid, conceding only two goals in their last five games. Meanwhile, Leganes coach Borja Jiménez hopes to remedy their home woes, having lost their last three home games.

Notably, Atletico’s attacking force, featuring Julián Álvarez, Antoine Griezmann, and Alexander Sørloth, has scored in every away game this season. Leganes will have to deal with suspensions and injuries, including crucial bans for Oscar Rodriguez and goalkeeper Juan Soriano.

The odds favor Atletico Madrid (1.47), with impressive betting tips suggesting they could lead by a goal in the first half at attractive odds of 5.5. Expect a dominant Atletico performance.

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended bet for this clash is Atletico Madrid (-1) in the 1st half (EH). With Atletico’s stellar form and rock-solid defense, they are favorites to lead at halftime.

Betting Tip Details:

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Atletico Madrid (-1) 1st half (EH)	5.5

Reasons for this Prediction:

• Atletico Madrid’s Form: They have won five consecutive matches.
• Atletico’s Defense: They have kept four clean sheets in their last five games.
• Previous Encounters: Atletico scored in 16 consecutive matches this season.
  Given the clear disparity in current form and performance, this bet is a solid pick.

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Odds

The upcoming clash between Leganes and Atletico Madrid offers some intriguing betting options. Atletico Madrid, sitting comfortably at the top of the table, are the bookmakers’ clear favorites.
Here’s a breakdown of the betting odds:

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Leganes	7.22
Draw	4.20
Atletico Madrid	1.47

With Atletico Madrid’s exceptional form, having won their last five matches and kept four clean sheets, it’s no surprise they’re heavily favored. However, Leganes could pull off a surprise, especially with odds at 7.22 for a win. A draw, priced at 4.20, is a plausible prediction given the evenly matched average goals scored by both teams.

For those seeking a riskier but high-reward bet, considering Atletico Madrid (-1) in the 1st half (EH) at odds of 5.5 might be worthwhile.

Leganes Team Analysis

Leganes Recent Performance

Leganes have been inconsistent in their recent performances, managing to secure crucial points but also suffering significant defeats. Their last five matches have seen them win three, draw one, and lose one.

Highlighting their recent form:

• Leganes vs Villarreal: 2-5 (Loss)
• Cartagena vs Leganes: 1-2 (Win)
• Espanyol vs Leganes: 1-1 (Draw)
• Almeria vs Leganes: 2-3 (Win)
• Leganes vs Barcelona: 1-0 (Win)

Their average goals scored in the last five games stand at 1.80, reflecting a decent attacking front. However, defensively they have struggled, achieving only one clean sheet. This defensive fragility might be a concern against Atletico’s potent attack.

Home team	Away team	Result
Almeria	Leganes	2-3 (Win)
Espanyol	Leganes	1-1 (Draw)
Cartagena	Leganes	1-2 (Win)
Leganes	Villarreal	2-5 (Loss)
Barcelona	Leganes	0-1 (Win)

Leganes need solid defensive displays and to capitalize on late-game opportunities, as they’ve frequently scored late this season.

Leganes Key Players

Leganes will look to their key players to pull off an upset against Atletico Madrid. Leading the charge is Juan Cruz, who, despite being the team’s top scorer with four goals, hasn’t found the net in his last eight matches. This drought will need to end if Leganes hope to challenge the La Liga leaders.

Renato Tapia and Matija Nastasic will be pivotal in defense, aiming to bolster a backline that has been leaky, conceding 11 goals in their last three home games. In midfield, Seydouba Cissé needs to provide the creativity to break through Atletico’s defensive setup.

Expected lineup for Leganes:

• Goalkeeper: Marko Dmitrovic
• Defenders: Valentin Rosier, Sergio González, Renato Tapia, Matija Nastasic, Juan Cruz
• Midfielders: Daniel Raba, Yvan Neyou, Seydouba Cissé, Darko Brasanac
• Forward: Miguel de la Fuente

A key individual battle will be how Cruz fares against Atletico’s Le Normand, who has been part of a defense that has conceded just two goals in five matches.

Leganes Suspensions & Injuries

Leganes are grappling with several injuries and suspensions, which could significantly impact their performance against Atletico Madrid. Key players like Enric Franquesa are sidelined for the season, whereas Jorge Sáenz and Daniel Raba are doubtful for the match. The absence of goalkeeper Juan Soriano, due to suspension, compounds their challenges. These issues could strain their defensive setup and hinder their goal-scoring potential.

Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Enric Franquesa	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Jorge Sáenz	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Daniel Raba	Muscle injury	Doubtful

Suspensions

Player	Suspension	Expected return
Oscar Rodríguez Arnaiz	Red card	4 matches left
Juan Soriano	Red card	1 match left

Leganes Tactics and Formation

Leganes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Miguel de la Fuente
• Midfield Composition: Daniel Raba, Yvan Neyou, Seydouba Cissé, Darko Brasanac
• Defensive Setup: Five at the back, including Renato Tapia and Matija Nastasic
• Notable Strategy: Strong in the closing stages (76-90 minutes)

Borja Jiménez has consistently favored a 5-4-1 formation, focusing heavily on a robust defensive setup. With their goalkeeper Juan Soriano suspended, Marko Dmitrovic is expected to step in. Renato Tapia and Matija Nastasic will likely anchor the defense, aiming to absorb pressure from Atletico’s potent attack. Miguel de la Fuente will spearhead the attack, hoping to capitalize on counter-attacks, especially exploiting Atletico’s defensive transitions in the latter stages of the match.

Atletico Madrid Team Analysis

Atletico Madrid Recent Performance

Atletico Madrid have been in scintillating form, winning their last five matches consecutively.
They’ve displayed remarkable consistency, both defensively and offensively, which keeps them at the top of the LaLiga table with 44 points.
Their recent performances are underscored by an average of 1.80 goals scored per game over the last five matches while maintaining an impressive four clean sheets.

Home team	Away team	Result
Elche	Atletico Madrid	0-4 (Win)
Atletico Madrid	Osasuna	1-0 (Win)
Marbella	Atletico Madrid	0-1 (Win)
Barcelona	Atletico Madrid	1-2 (Win)
Atletico Madrid	Getafe	1-0 (Win)

Diego Simeone’s side has been solid, conceding just one goal in these fixtures, showcasing their defensive prowess.

Atletico Madrid Key Players

Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:

• Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
• Defenders: Nahuel Molina Lucero, Robin Le Normand, Reinildo Mandava, Javi Galán
• Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher
• Attackers: Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez

Atletico Madrid is brimming with talent, and a few key players stand out. Their top scorer, Alexander Sørloth, with 8 goals this season, is crucial in the final third.

In the midfield, Rodrigo De Paul commands play and provides crucial assistance to both defense and attack. Expect intense individual battles, particularly with Leganes’ Juan Cruz, in the midfield roles.

Jan Oblak in goal enhances their defensive solidity, often acting as the last line of defense. Watch for Griezmann’s creativity and Alvarez’s finishing skills to make the difference upfront.

Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Madrid will have to navigate a few key absences due to injuries and potential suspensions. These issues could impact their squad depth and overall performance.

Injuries:

Player	Injury	Expected return
José Giménez	Muscle injury	Late January 2025
Clement Lenglet	Physical discomfort	Doubtful
Jan Oblak	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Pablo Barrios	Ankle injury	Late January 2025
Koke	Virus	Doubtful

The potential absence of Jan Oblak and Koke could be particularly significant. Oblak’s goalkeeping skills are vital for maintaining defensive stability, while Koke’s presence in midfield is crucial for both defense and transition play. Additionally, Giménez and Barrios being out until late January puts extra pressure on other squad members to step up and fill the void. Atletico’s depth will likely be tested in this match.

Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation

Atletico Madrid’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez
• Midfield Quartet: Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Giuliano Simeone
• Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in the last five games

Atletico Madrid, under Diego Simeone, are known for their disciplined defensive structure and quick counter-attacking style. The 4-4-2 formation allows them to be flexible in transitions.

Griezmann and Álvarez provide a potent attacking duo up front, supported by a hardworking midfield that can both defend and create opportunities.

The defence, led by Robin Le Normand, has been solid, which is evident in their recent clean sheets. They aim to maintain a compact shape, making it difficult for opponents to break through.

Notable Strategy: Expect a strong, resilient defence with rapid counter-attacks, especially exploiting the wings through Giuliano Simeone and the versatile Conor Gallagher.

Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Statistics

The recent history between Leganes and Atletico Madrid suggests a competitive edge for Atletico Madrid.

Home	Away	Result
Atletico Madrid	Leganes	3-1
Atletico Madrid	Leganes	0-0
Leganes	Atletico Madrid	0-1
Atletico Madrid	Leganes	1-0
Leganes	Atletico Madrid	1-1

In their last five meetings, Atletico Madrid have shown their strength with three wins and two draws. Notably, their most recent encounter saw a decisive 3-1 victory for Atletico Madrid.

Given their recent form and standings, Atletico are clearly the favorites, but Leganes have managed to keep it close in past confrontations. This historical context adds an interesting dynamic to their upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 16.01.2025 15:32, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.