Mirassol vs. Bahia Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 31 August 2025

Mirassol hosts Bahia in a critical Serie A clash on 31 August 2025 at 22:30. This match holds significant weight as both teams are vying for a top-four finish.
Mirassol, currently 6th with 32 points, remains unbeaten at home this season, making their stadium a fortress. With a 70.37% home success rate, Rafael Guanaes’ squad will aim to capitalize on their strong form. Their recent victory over Fortaleza shows their resilience and capacity to grind out results. However, they must be wary, having only kept one clean sheet in their last five games.
Bahia, sitting 4th with 36 points, is in impressive form, notably on a ten-game unbeaten streak. Coach Rogério Ceni’s side recently secured a vital win against Fluminense in the Copa do Brasil, with Luciano Juba netting the decisive goal. Bahia’s away performance will be tested against a solid Mirassol defense.
With both teams boasting strong home records, expect a tightly contested affair. Our recommended bet is Mirassol 0.00 (AH), considering their unbeaten home record.

Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction & Betting tip

Mirassol’s undefeated home record and recent form make them solid contenders for this clash against Bahia. Our recommended bet is Mirassol 0.00 (Asian Handicap). This bet offers value, considering both teams’ strong records but Mirassol’s distinct home advantage.

• Mirassol remains undefeated at home, boasting a 70.37% success rate.
• Bahia’s away form could be tested against Mirassol’s solid defense.
• Both teams are on unbeaten streaks, suggesting a tightly contested match.

Expect a motivated Mirassol looking to capitalize on their home advantage in this critical Serie A clash.

Mirassol vs Bahia Odds

The odds for this exciting Serie A clash between Mirassol and Bahia offer some interesting insights into the expected outcome of the match. Mirassol, currently favored by the bookmakers, have shown impressive form at home, making them slight favorites in this encounter. However, Bahia’s solid recent performances and unbeaten streak add complexity to the betting landscape.

• Mirassol’s unbeaten home record puts them in a strong position.
• Bahia’s ten-game unbeaten streak adds value to their odds.
• The draw bet also holds value given both teams’ strong defensive records.

With such closely matched teams, this game promises to be a tightly contested affair and betting options are diverse.

Mirassol Team Analysis

Mirassol Recent Performance

Mirassol’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their last five results are as follows:

• Fortaleza 0-1 Mirassol (Win)
• Mirassol 1-1 Cruzeiro (Draw)
• Flamengo 2-1 Mirassol (Loss)
• Mirassol 3-2 Vasco da Gama (Win)
• Mirassol 1-1 Vitoria (Draw)

This recent form has helped Mirassol remain in the hunt for a top-four finish in Serie A, currently sitting in the 6th position with 32 points.
On average, Mirassol has scored 1.40 goals per game in their last five matches, showcasing their attacking capabilities. However, defensively, they have kept only one clean sheet in the same period, conceding a goal per game on average in the season.
Their upcoming match against Bahia, who are riding a ten-game unbeaten streak, will be a stern test. However, their unbeaten home record and strong recent performances reflect their resilience and capacity to grind out results.

Mirassol Key Players

Mirassol’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by their top scorer Reinaldo, who has netted 7 goals this season. His consistency in front of goal makes him a key figure for Mirassol, especially in this crucial encounter against Bahia.
Neto Moura in midfield acts as the engine, linking play and providing defensive cover. His role will be pivotal to controlling the tempo of the match and stifling Bahia’s attacking threats.
At the back, João Victor and Jemmes will be tasked with keeping Bahia’s forwards, especially the dangerous Luciano Juba, at bay. This defensive partnership has shown resilience but will need to be at their best against Bahia’s in-form attack.
Expected lineup for Mirassol:

• Goalkeeper: Walter
• Defenders: Lucas Ramon, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo
• Midfielders: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, José Aldo
• Attackers: Negueba, Francisco Da Costa Chico, Edson Carioca

These players’ performances will be crucial if Mirassol is to maintain their unbeaten home record and continue their push for a top-four finish.

Mirassol Suspensions & Injuries

Mirassol will have to navigate this fixture without the services of Matheus Sales and Gabriel. Matheus Sales is expected to return in early September, while Gabriel is sidelined with a muscle injury and could be out for another 1-2 weeks. These absences might affect Mirassol’s midfield depth, especially the defensive contributions that Matheus Sales typically provides.
Additionally, midfielder Yago Felipe is suspended and will miss this match as part of his ongoing ban. His absence will be felt, especially in breaking up opposition play and distributing the ball effectively in midfield.
These injuries and suspensions could place added pressure on Neto Moura and Danielzinho to step up and fill the void in midfield, ensuring defensive solidity and creative output against a strong Bahia side.

Mirassol Tactics and Formation

Mirassol Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Reinaldo – Top scorer with 7 goals.
• Midfield Trio: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, José Aldo
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Mirassol tends to perform strongly during the 61-75-minute interval, often focusing their attack efforts during this period.

Mirassol’s formation and tactics are heavily based on their 4-3-3 setup, which allows them to maximize width and stretch opposition defenses. Reinaldo, their top scorer, is pivotal in leading the attacking line, supported by wingers like Negueba and Edson Carioca. The midfield trio is designed to provide a robust blend of creativity and defensive cover, with Neto Moura playing a critical role in disrupting opposition plays and initiating counter-attacks.
Despite injuries to key players, Mirassol’s depth and tactical adaptability have kept them competitive, especially at home, where they are yet to be defeated this season.

Bahia Team Analysis

Bahia Recent Performance

Bahia is in scorching form, winning four of their last five matches and drawing one. Their recent results are:

• Bahia 1-0 Fluminense (Win, Copa do Brasil)
• Bahia 2-0 Santos FC (Win)
• Bahia 1-0 Ceara (Win, Copa do Nordeste)
• Corinthians 1-2 Bahia (Win)
• Bahia 3-3 Fluminense (Draw)

Bahia’s current points tally stands at 36, placing them fourth in the Serie A standings. Over their last five encounters, they average 1.80 goals per match while managing to keep three clean sheets, demonstrating both offensive prowess and defensive reliability.
This strong run of form, highlighted by their unbeaten streak, places Bahia in a strong position heading into their fixture against Mirassol. Their resilience and consistent performance will be crucial as they seek to maintain their top-four spot.

Bahia Key Players

Bahia’s standout performer this season has been Luciano Juba, their top scorer, with 5 goals to his name. His recent exploits include scoring the decisive goal in Bahia’s Copa do Brasil victory over Fluminense. His prowess in front of goal will be crucial against Mirassol.
In midfield, Jean Lucas has been pivotal, providing both defensive cover and playmaking abilities essential for Bahia’s dynamic play. Everton Ribeiro adds experience and creativity, complementing Jean Lucas’s versatility.
At the back, Santiago Arias and Santiago Ramos Mingo will be key in ensuring defensive solidity against Mirassol’s attack, particularly Reinaldo. Their partnership will need to be cohesive to handle Mirassol’s offensive threats.
Expected lineup for Bahia:

• Goalkeeper: Ronaldo
• Defenders: Santiago Arias, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba
• Midfielders: Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Everton Ribeiro
• Attackers: Erick Pulga, Willian Jose, Kayky

These players’ performances will be crucial for Bahia as they look to extend their unbeaten streak and secure a valuable away victory.

Bahia Suspensions & Injuries

Bahia will be facing some significant absences due to injuries and suspensions for their upcoming match against Mirassol. They will be without:

• Kanu (Calf Injury) – Out until late November 2025.
• Erick Carvalho (Thigh injury) – Expected to return around mid-September 2025.
• Caio Alexandre (Thigh injury) – Out until mid-September 2025.
• Gilberto (Muscle injury) – Expected return in about 1-2 weeks.
• Michel Araújo (Muscle injury) – Expected return in about 1-2 weeks.
• Ademir Santos (Thigh injury and suspension due to yellow cards) – Expected return in about 1-2 weeks plus banned for this match.

These absences will test the depth of Rogério Ceni’s squad, especially with crucial players like Caio Alexandre and Gilberto missing. However, Bahia has shown resilience throughout the season, and other squad members like Jean Lucas and Nicolás Acevedo will need to step up to fill the void.

Bahia Tactics and Formation

Bahia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Luciano Juba – Top scorer with 5 goals.
• Midfield Trio: Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Everton Ribeiro
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Bahia tends to perform strongly during the first 30 minutes, often scoring early to unsettle their opponents.

Bahia’s tactical setup in a 4-3-3 formation leverages their attacking depth and defensive solidity. Luciano Juba, their top scorer, leads the line and is crucial for breaking down Mirassol’s defense. The midfield trio, led by Jean Lucas, provides a mix of creativity, defensive cover, and control over the game’s tempo. Nicolás Acevedo often drops deep to help the defense, while Everton Ribeiro provides the creative spark, setting up chances for the forwards.
Defensively, Santiago Arias and Santiago Ramos Mingo form a robust partnership, crucial for keeping the opposition at bay. With three clean sheets in their last five games, Bahia’s defensive unit will be critical in maintaining their unbeaten streak and securing a positive result away from home.

Mirassol vs Bahia Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, Mirassol and Bahia have had few encounters, with their most recent meeting ending in a 1-1 draw on 13 April 2025 in Serie A. This result highlighted the competitive nature of their matchups, showcasing that both teams are equally matched.
Given their current standings and recent form, the upcoming fixture promises to be another closely contested affair. Bahia, sitting in fourth place, has shown formidable performance, while Mirassol, currently sixth, brings their undefeated home record into the mix.
With both teams aiming to secure a top-four finish, expect another tightly fought match reflective of their previous encounters, characterized by tactical discipline and a keen defensive mindset.

Odds accurate as of 29.08.2025 22:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.