FC Juarez vs. Toluca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 August 2025

The Liga MX is heating up as FC Juarez hosts Toluca at Estadio Benito Juarez on 12 August 2025. FC Juarez will be desperate for a win, sitting 17th with just 2 points after three rounds. Under Martín Varini, they have struggled early on, yet Juarez showcased some attacking prowess in the Leagues Cup with solid performances.

Meanwhile, Toluca, led by Antonio Mohamed, are in strong form, standing 4th with 6 points and recently claimed the Supercopa against America. Helinho has been a standout, netting 3 goals in 3 matches. Toluca’s recent dominance in head-to-head encounters, including a 4-0 thrashing last time at this venue, makes them the bookmakers’ favourite.

Expect a competitive clash, with Toluca slightly ahead. A recommended bet is a draw with FC Juarez (+1) on handicap, reflecting their potential to hold strong at home.

FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction & Betting tip

FC Juarez vs Toluca Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Draw – FC Juarez (+1) (EH)	3.52

FC Juarez vs Toluca is shaping up to be an engaging contest. Juarez, unfortunately, found themselves winless early in the season, sitting in 17th place. Their form showed glimpses of promise in the Leagues Cup with notable performances. Meanwhile, Toluca looks formidable, having achieved a Supercopa win against America and secured 6 points, placing them 4th.

Given their contrasting form, a handicap draw bet on Juarez seems compelling. Here’s why this bet is attractive:

• Toluca’s recent dominance, but Juarez’s potential to hold strong at home.
• Juarez’s knack for scoring, evidenced by their average of 3 goals in the last 5 games.
• Toluca’s solid but not impregnable defense, with no clean sheets in their last 5 matches.

Expect Toluca to edge ahead, but only slightly.

FC Juarez vs Toluca Odds

The upcoming clash between FC Juarez and Toluca offers some interesting betting opportunities. Toluca, with their recent track record, are the clear favourites, yet considering FC Juarez’s potential to hold their ground at home, all outcomes merit a look.

FC Juarez vs Toluca Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
FC Juarez	3.66
Draw	3.52
Toluca	1.92

Juarez, currently struggling at 17th place, will need to capitalize on home advantage and bounce back from their sluggish start. On the other hand, Toluca, fresh off a Supercopa win, stand 4th and are expected to continue their strong form.

Consider Juarez’s attacking potential and Toluca’s formidable, but not perfect, defense when making your betting decisions. Whether you go for the favourites or see value in Juarez surprising us all, there’s plenty to keep an eye on.

FC Juarez Team Analysis

FC Juarez Recent Performance

FC Juarez has shown a mixed bag of results in their last five encounters with a record of Loss, Draw, Win, Win, and Loss. They were recently eliminated from the Leagues Cup after a penalty shoot-out against New York Red Bulls following a 1-1 draw. Prior to this, they managed an impressive 4-1 victory over Charlotte FC, showcasing their attacking capabilities. However, their Liga MX ventures have been less fruitful, earning only 2 points from the first three rounds, placing them 17th.

Despite not securing a clean sheet in their last five games, FC Juarez has maintained an average of 3.00 goals scored per match. Their ability to find the net can be attributed to standout performances from striker Angel Zaldivar and their midfield’s creativity. They’ll need to leverage this offensive strength to turn their season around.

FC Juarez Key Players

FC Juarez’s key player to watch is Angel Zaldivar, who is their current top scorer with one goal. While his tally might not seem impressive, Zaldivar’s influence in the offensive third is noticeable. Midfielders Ricardinho and Guilherme Castilho also play crucial roles, providing creativity and stability in the middle of the park. On the defensive side, players like Moises Mosquera and Manuel Mayorga will be vital in containing Toluca’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for FC Juarez:

• Goalkeeper: Sebastián Jurado
• Defenders: Denzell Garcia, Moises Mosquera, Jose Garcia Manríquez, Manuel Alejandro Mayorga
• Midfielders: Homer Martinez, Guilherme Castilho, Madson, Ricardinho, Jose Luis Rodriguez
• Forward: Oscar Estupiñán

Their ability to coordinate and capitalize on scoring opportunities can make a significant difference in swinging the game in their favor. Individual battles to watch include Zaldivar against Toluca’s centre-back pairing of Federico Pereira and Luan, which could be a decisive factor in the match.

FC Juarez Suspensions & Injuries

FC Juarez are dealing with a couple of significant injuries that could impact their performance. Bryan Romero is out with a knee injury and is not expected to return until early November 2025. Additionally, Jonathan Gonzalez’s calf injury raises doubts about his fitness for this match.

The absence of Romero and the potential unavailability of Gonzalez could affect Juarez’s depth, particularly in midfield, where creativity and control are crucial. These missing players place additional responsibility on the likes of Ricardinho and Guilherme Castilho to step up and dictate the tempo.

Without their full-strength squad, Juarez will need to rely on their currently available players to manage against an in-form Toluca side.

FC Juarez Tactics and Formation

FC Juarez, under coach Martín Varini, is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, looking to leverage their offensive capabilities while maintaining a solid defensive setup.

FC Juarez Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Oscar Estupiñán
• Midfield Duo: Homer Martinez and Guilherme Castilho
• Notable Strategy: Quick transitions and counter-attacks, aiming to exploit spaces behind Toluca’s defense.
• Defensive Focus: The strength will be on the back four’s ability to contain Toluca’s attacks, particularly from their wings.

Juarez will rely heavily on the creativity of Ricardinho and the pace of Jose Luis Rodriguez on the wings to break down Toluca’s defense. Their 3-goal average in the last five matches shows their attacking intent, which they’ll need to capitalize on despite their defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by zero clean sheets recently.

Toluca Team Analysis

Toluca Recent Performance

Toluca enters this fixture in impressive form, boasting a record of Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win in their last five matches. They recently secured a 2-1 victory over New York City FC in the Leagues Cup, showcasing their resilience and attacking prowess.

In Liga MX, Toluca’s start has been solid, with 6 points from three rounds putting them in 4th place. They have averaged 3.20 goals per game in their last five outings, demonstrating their lethal attacking capabilities led by top scorer Helinho, who has netted three times in the competition already.

Despite their strong attacking form, Toluca has not kept a clean sheet in their past five matches, indicating a potential vulnerability that FC Juarez might look to exploit. Maintaining this balance between attack and defense will be crucial for Antonio Mohamed’s men.

Toluca Key Players

Toluca’s standout player this season is Helinho, having netted three goals in the past three matches, making him the team’s top scorer. His form could be pivotal in breaking down FC Juarez’s defense. Additionally, Paulinho’s ability to lead the line as the central forward, along with Alexis Vega’s flair on the wings, makes Toluca’s attacking trio formidable. Not to be overlooked is the contribution of Toluca’s midfield, particularly Franco Romero and Marcel Ruiz, who provide stability and creativity. Defensively, Federico Pereira and Luan Garcia will be tasked with neutralizing FC Juarez’s offensive threats.

Expected lineup for Toluca:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Garcia
• Defenders: Diego Barbosa, Federico Pereira, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo
• Midfielders: Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Helinho, Jesus Angulo, Ernesto Alexis Vega
• Forward: Paulinho

Key battles to watch include Helinho against Juarez’s center backs, and Paulinho’s movement in the box which could be decisive against a defense that hasn’t kept a clean sheet recently.

Toluca Suspensions & Injuries

Toluca enter this matchup without any suspensions or significant injuries to report. This clean bill of health provides coach Ignacio Ambriz with the luxury of fielding his strongest eleven for the clash against FC Juárez.

Having their full squad available means that Toluca can maintain their attacking threat and continue their solid start to the season. This stability will be crucial, especially given their recent form and the importance of capitalizing on Juárez’s vulnerabilities.

By having all key players available, including the in-form Helinho and reliable defenders like Valber Huerta and Léo Fernández, Toluca will be looking to extend their dominant form and secure another vital three points.

Toluca Tactics and Formation

Toluca, managed by Antonio Mohamed, are likely to implement a balanced but aggressive strategy with a 4-2-3-1 formation in their upcoming clash against FC Juarez.

Toluca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Paulinho
• Midfield Duo: Franco Romero and Marcel Ruiz
• Notable Strategy: High-pressing and maintaining a high defensive line to keep the opposition on the back foot.
• Defensive Focus: Strong reliance on center-backs Federico Pereira and Luan to intercept and counteract Juarez’s attacking threats.

Toluca’s strength lies in their fluid attacking transitions and their ability to keep the ball moving swiftly via the wings, with Helinho and Alexis Vega providing significant attacking width. Given Juarez’s leaky defense, which hasn’t kept a clean sheet in recent games, Toluca will likely focus on exploiting these weaknesses by maintaining sustained offensive pressure throughout the match.
The ability to switch play quickly and isolate Juarez’s defenders one-on-one could be key in dictating the pace and outcome of this matchup.

FC Juarez vs Toluca Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Toluca has maintained the upper hand against FC Juarez. Here’s a quick look:

• 2025-02-22: FC Juarez 0-4 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura)
• 2024-07-14: Toluca 3-2 FC Juarez (Liga MX Apertura)
• 2024-03-09: FC Juarez 1-1 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura)
• 2023-07-16: Toluca 2-4 FC Juarez (Liga MX Apertura)
• 2023-04-23: Toluca 1-1 FC Juarez (Liga MX Clausura)

Toluca has not lost at the Estadio Benito Juarez in their last four visits, highlighting their dominance. Their recent 4-0 win at this venue in February 2025 showcases their attacking prowess, with standout performances from players like Helinho.

This history suggests that Toluca has the psychological advantage, especially considering their current form and position in the league. However, FC Juarez will be eager to break this pattern and secure a much-needed result at home.

Venue and Weather

The upcoming match between FC Juarez and Toluca will take place at the iconic Estadio Benito Juarez. Known for its vibrant atmosphere, the stadium boasts a capacity of around 19,703, often making it a fortress for the home side with passionate fans generating an electric ambiance.

While specifics on the weather are not available for match day, typical conditions in August can include warm temperatures and occasional precipitation. This could affect the playing style of both teams. FC Juarez might opt for a more robust approach to counter any potential slick conditions, aiming to exploit set-pieces and aerial duels. Meanwhile, Toluca’s strategy may focus on maintaining possession and leveraging their fluid passing to navigate possible slippery surfaces effectively.

Adjusting to these weather conditions will be crucial for both teams in executing their game plans effectively.

Odds accurate as of 08.11.2025 13:10, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.