San Lorenzo vs. Instituto Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 August 2025

This upcoming encounter between San Lorenzo and Instituto in the Liga Profesional promises to be an intriguing clash. As of round 6, San Lorenzo sits 9th in the standings with 8 points, while Instituto finds themselves in 25th position with just 5 points. Historically, San Lorenzo has had the upper hand, winning three out of their last five encounters.

San Lorenzo has shown solid defensive capabilities, boasting three clean sheets in their last five games. However, they have struggled offensively, netting only four goals this season. The bookmakers favor San Lorenzo, with odds at 2.12 for a home win.

Instituto, coached by Daniel Oldrá, has had a tough run, losing to Union 4-0 in their last outing. With defensive gaps highlighted in recent matches, they’ll need to tighten up at the back to have a chance. Their top scorer, Alex Luna, has netted 6 goals this season and will be key if they hope to pull off an upset.

Given the stats and form, our recommended bet is a home win for San Lorenzo.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Prediction & Betting Tip

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Prediction
Betting Tip	Odds
Home Win	2.12

San Lorenzo, currently 9th in Liga Profesional, is the bookmaker’s favorite for a reason. Despite their offensive struggles, their rock-solid defense has shone through, with clean sheets in three out of their last five matches. Meanwhile, Instituto’s defensive lapses have been glaring, especially highlighted by their recent 4-0 drubbing by Union.

• Team Form and Standing: San Lorenzo is significantly higher in the standings compared to Instituto, who is languishing in 25th place.
• Defensive Strength: San Lorenzo has a formidable defense, conceding just 0.7 goals per game on average, whereas Instituto concedes 1.45 goals per match.
• Head-to-Head Advantage: Historically, San Lorenzo has dominated this fixture, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Odds For the upcoming Liga Profesional clash between San Lorenzo and Instituto, let’s take a closer look at the betting odds. The bookmakers have positioned San Lorenzo as the favorites, reflecting their higher ranking and stronger recent performances.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
San Lorenzo	2.12
Draw	2.81
Instituto	4.07

San Lorenzo, currently in 9th place, has a better form and defensive record compared to Instituto, who are struggling in 25th position. The odds of 2.12 for a home win reflect San Lorenzo’s robust defense and historical dominance in this fixture.

• San Lorenzo’s defensive consistency gives them a significant edge.
• Instituto’s recent heavy defeats indicate potential vulnerability.
• A draw seems like a plausible outcome given the defensive strengths and offensive struggles of both teams.

San Lorenzo Team Analysis

San Lorenzo Recent Performance:

San Lorenzo’s recent form has been a mixed bag with a record of DDLWL in their last five matches. They started with a goalless draw against River Plate, followed by another draw with Gimnasia LP. However, they secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Velez Sarsfield, only to hit a snag with a 0-1 loss to Tigre in the cup and a 2-1 defeat against Club Atletico Platense in the league.

Despite their offensive struggles, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored per game in the last five outings, their defensive strength remains a key asset. San Lorenzo has managed to keep three clean sheets in these matches, underscoring their solidity at the back. Their current position of 9th in the Liga Profesional standings and 8 points earned reflect their resilient but uneven start to the season.

San Lorenzo Key Players

San Lorenzo’s strength, despite recent inconsistencies, often comes from their key players. Alexis Cuello has been their main threat up front, even though he won’t feature this time due to suspension. In his absence, other players must step up.

Expected lineup for San Lorenzo:

• Goalkeeper: Orlando Gill
• Defenders: Ezequiel Herrera, Jhohan Romana, Daniel Herrera, Elias Baez
• Midfielders: Ignacio Perruzzi, Emanuel Cecchini, Nicolas Tripichio
• Forwards: Branco Salinardi, Andrés Vombergar, Matias Reali

Andrés Vombergar will be crucial in filling the gap left by Cuello, while midfielders like Emanuel Cecchini and Nicolas Tripichio will aim to control the game’s tempo. The defense, led by Jhohan Romana and bolstered by the reliable Orlando Gill in goal, will be vital to San Lorenzo’s strategy of maintaining clean sheets.

San Lorenzo Suspensions & Injuries

San Lorenzo is currently grappling with several key absences that could impact their performance in the upcoming match against Instituto.

Injuries:

• Manuel Insaurralde: Out for the season with a broken arm.
• Ezequiel Cerutti: Muscle injury with a potential return in about 1-2 weeks.
• Gaston Hernandez: Thigh injury with a similar 1-2 week return timeline.

Suspensions:

• Alexis Cuello: Their top scorer is suspended due to a yellow/red card incident, leaving a significant gap in the attacking line-up. He has scored twice this season, making his absence particularly noteworthy.

These absences will undoubtedly test San Lorenzo’s squad depth, especially with key players sidelined. The team’s defensive lineup remains intact, which is crucial given their reliance on keeping clean sheets.

San Lorenzo Tactics and Formation

San Lorenzo Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Andrés Vombergar
• Midfield Trio: Ignacio Perruzzi, Emanuel Cecchini, Nicolas Tripichio
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in their last five matches
• Notable Strategy: A solid defensive unit that aims to frustrate opponents and capitalize on counter-attacks.

San Lorenzo will employ their familiar 4-3-3 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and disciplined teamwork. With three clean sheets in their last five matches, their backline, anchored by goalkeeper Orlando Gill and defenders Ezequiel Herrera and Jhohan Romana, will look to maintain a strong defensive record.

In the absence of their top scorer Alexis Cuello, Andrés Vombergar will take up the mantle upfront, supported by Branco Salinardi and Matias Reali on the flanks. The midfield trio of Perruzzi, Cecchini, and Tripichio will be tasked with controlling the tempo and providing the crucial link between defense and attack.

Instituto Team Analysis

Instituto Recent Performance:

Instituto has had a difficult stretch of matches, recording a form of WLDDL in their last five games. Their recent outing ended in a heavy 4-0 defeat to Union, reflecting their ongoing defensive issues. Although they managed a respectable 0-0 draw against Velez Sarsfield, their form shows vulnerability, particularly in their back line.

Recent Form:

• Win against Gimnasia LP (0-1)
• Draw with River Plate (0-0)
• Draw with Velez Sarsfield (0-0)
• Draw with Club Atletico Platense (1-1)
• Loss to Union (0-4)

Instituto’s average goals scored per game stand at just 0.40 over the last five matches. Despite two clean sheets in this period, their defensive fragility is evident with significant losses, making it crucial for their manager, Daniel Oldrá, to tighten up at the back.

Instituto Key Players

Instituto will rely heavily on their key players to mount a challenge against San Lorenzo. Alex Luna, who has scored 6 goals this season, will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. The young forward’s pace and skill make him a constant threat, and he will be eager to add to his tally.

Expected lineup for Instituto:

• Goalkeeper: Manuel Roffo
• Defenders: Juan Franco, Gonzalo Requena, Nicolas Zalazar, Elias Pereyra
• Midfielders: Gaston Lodico, Stefano Moreyra, Damian Puebla, Alex Luna, Manuel Romero
• Forward: Matias Fonseca

Juan Franco and Gonzalo Requena in defense will need to be at their best, especially considering recent defensive lapses. Damaging losses like their 4-0 defeat to Union highlight the importance of a strong showing from their defensive unit. Midfielders like Gaston Lodico and Stefano Moreyra will look to control the tempo and provide the creative spark needed to unlock San Lorenzo’s solid defense.

Instituto Suspensions & Injuries

Instituto has a couple of key absences that could impact their performance against San Lorenzo.

Injuries:

• Facundo Suarez: Out with a cruciate ligament injury, expected to return late October 2025.

Suspensions:

• Fernando Alarcon: Suspended due to a red card, he will miss this crucial fixture.

Facundo Suarez’s absence will be felt in the attacking department, potentially limiting Instituto’s goal-scoring chances. Fernando Alarcon’s suspension removes a reliable option in defense, further weakening the backline that has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches. These missing pieces could be critical as Instituto attempts to secure a result against a historically dominant opponent like San Lorenzo.

Instituto Tactics and Formation

Instituto Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Matias Fonseca
• Midfield Dynamics: Gaston Lodico, Stefano Moreyra, Damian Puebla, Alex Luna, Manuel Romero
• Defensive Strength: Managed two clean sheets in their last five games, despite recent heavy losses.
• Notable Strategy: Instituto often relies on rapid counter-attacks and maintaining a compact defensive shape.

Instituto will likely stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, which allows for a solid defensive base while providing support to their lone forward, Matias Fonseca. The midfield, featuring players like Alex Luna and Gaston Lodico, will be crucial for linking up play and creating scoring opportunities. Despite some recent defensive frailties, the presence of Juan Franco and Gonzalo Requena will be vital in their attempts to stifle San Lorenzo’s attack. Instituto needs to be disciplined and organized, ensuring they capitalize on quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.

San Lorenzo vs Instituto Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the past five encounters between San Lorenzo and Instituto, San Lorenzo has had the upper hand.

Recent Meetings:

• 2025-02-18 Liga Profesional Apertura: Instituto 0-1 San Lorenzo
• 2024-10-05 Liga Profesional: Instituto 2-0 San Lorenzo
• 2023-05-20 Liga Profesional: San Lorenzo 2-0 Instituto
• 2015-08-05 Copa Argentina: Instituto 1-2 San Lorenzo
• 2012-07-01 Primera Relegation Playoff: San Lorenzo 1-1 Instituto

San Lorenzo’s historical dominance is evident, winning three out of these five clashes. They particularly capitalized on their defensive solidity, keeping two clean sheets and conceding just three goals across these games. Instituto, while managing to secure one significant win in 2024, often found it challenging to break down San Lorenzo’s robust defense.

Odds accurate as of 21.08.2025 18:33, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.