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Leon vs. Pachuca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 24 August 2025

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Get ready for an exciting clash as Leon take on Pachuca at Estadio Nou Camp on 24 August 2025 in Liga MX. Pachuca, currently top of the table with 12 points, visit a Leon side positioned 10th with 6 points. Despite Leon’s mid-table standing, this match holds significance as they aim to climb up the leaderboard.

Both sides have seen mixed results in their recent outings, with Leon managing a win in their last match but Pachuca coming off a defeat against LA Galaxy. Pachuca’s consistent form has seen them secure 4 wins out of their last 5 matches, and with odds favouring them (2.18), they are expected to edge closer to another victory.

Leon’s top scorer Ismael Díaz and Pachuca’s Jhonder Cádiz will be key players to watch. Pachuca have a slight defensive edge, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals in their last five games.

A recommended bet focuses on Pachuca to have a slight advantage in the first half (Pachuca -0.25 in 1st half AH). The bookmakers predict a tight yet gripping contest.

Expect a tense match under the floodlights, with both teams striving to secure vital points early in the season.

Leon vs Pachuca Prediction & Betting Tip

Leon vs Pachuca Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Pachuca -0.25 in 1st half (AH) 2.18

This betting tip makes sense because Pachuca are small favourites to win, having secured four wins in their last five matches, showcasing their form. Their solid defence conceding only 0.8 goals on average in five games adds weight to this bet.

Reasons for this prediction:

  • Recent form favours Pachuca who have 4 wins in the last 5 matches compared to Leon’s single win.
  • Pachuca’s impressive defensive record this season, conceding just 0.8 goals on average per game.
  • Despite a recent loss, Pachuca’s overall performance suggests they’re likely to push for an early lead.

With this in mind, expect a tight and competitive match as both teams strive for key points in the season.

Leon vs Pachuca Odds

Looking at the betting odds for the upcoming Liga MX clash between Leon and Pachuca, the bookmakers have set their sights on Pachuca as the favourites. With their top spot in the league, Pachuca are given shorter odds while Leon, sitting in 10th place, face longer odds for a win.

Leon vs Pachuca Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Leon 3.07
Draw 3.32
Pachuca 2.18

These odds reflect Pachuca’s superior form and standing in the league. They’ve secured four wins in their last five matches, whereas Leon has struggled with inconsistent performances. Betting on a draw or a Leon win carries higher risk and potential reward, but Pachuca’s recent track record makes them a solid choice for a bet. This should be a closely contested match, so expect the odds to fluctuate slightly as match day approaches.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance

Leon have had a challenging run of form lately, as reflected in their last five results. They’ve suffered four losses including defeats to Columbus Crew and New York City FC in the Leagues Cup, and Monterrey in Liga MX. Their only bright spot was a narrow 1-0 victory against Necaxa.

  • Recent Form: LLLLW
  • Average Goals Scored: 1.80 per game
  • Clean Sheets: 1 in their last 5 games

Despite their struggles, Leon have managed to average 1.80 goals per game, showcasing some attacking potential. However, their defensive frailties are evident, keeping just one clean sheet. Under Eduardo Berizzo’s guidance, Leon will be looking to solidify their defence and capitalize on their attacking capabilities as they aim to climb the league table.

Leon Key Players

Leon will be counting on key performances from their top players to turn the tide in their favour against table-toppers Pachuca.

Leading the attack will be Ismael Díaz, their top scorer this season with one goal. He will be pivotal in breaking down Pachuca’s well-organized defence. Midfield dynamo Fernando Beltran and winger Jordi Cortizo will need to be at their creative best to supply quality opportunities.

Defensively, they’ll hope Jaine Stiven Barreiro and Sebastian Santos can solidify the backline and limit Pachuca’s chances.

Expected lineup for Leon:

  • Goalkeeper: Óscar Damián García
  • Defenders: Sebastián Santos, Valentín Gauthier, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Salvador Reyes
  • Midfielders: Rodrigo Echeverría, Nicolás Fonseca, Jordi Cortizo, Fernando Beltrán, Ismael Díaz
  • Forward: José Alvarado

Look out for the individual battles between Ismael Díaz and Pachuca’s centre-backs, which could be decisive in the match outcome.

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

Leon will be approaching this fixture with a bit of caution due to injury concerns.

The notable absence is James Rodríguez, who is currently dealing with a knock injury and is doubtful for this match. Rodríguez’s potential absence could be a blow to Leon’s midfield creativity and overall attacking prowess.

There are no suspensions affecting Leon for this match, so Eduardo Berizzo can count on the rest of his squad to step up. The onus will be on players like Fernando Beltrán and Rodrigo Echeverría to compensate for Rodríguez’s potential absence.

With no other significant injuries or suspensions, Leon will look to field a strong side capable of challenging Pachuca.

Leon Tactics and Formation

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Ismael Díaz
  • Attacking Midfield Trio: Jordi Cortizo, Fernando Beltrán, José Alvarado
  • Defensive Strength: Just one clean sheet in the last five games.

Under Eduardo Berizzo, Leon are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on a midfield trio that aims to dominate possession and create chances. Ismael Diaz, as the lone forward, will be the key man up front looking to exploit any gaps in Pachuca’s defence.

Defensively, León will aim to tighten their backline, with Jaine Stiven Barreiro and Sebastián Santos tasked with neutralising Pachuca’s attacking threats. Look out for Leon to focus on strong defensive discipline while utilising quick transitions to catch Pachuca off guard.

Pachuca Team Analysis

Pachuca Recent Performance

Pachuca have had a rollercoaster of performances in their last five matches, which include league and cup games. They secured victories against Atlas and Houston Dynamo FC but have also suffered losses to LA Galaxy, Tijuana, and in a penalty shoot-out against Los Angeles FC in the Leagues Cup.

  • Recent Form: LWWLL
  • Average Goals Scored: 1.80 per game
  • Clean Sheets: 1 in their last 5 games

Despite the mixed results, Pachuca have displayed an average of 1.80 goals scored per game, indicating a solid attacking unit. The team’s ability to secure clean sheets has been somewhat inconsistent, with only one in their last five games. Nonetheless, their current top position in the league suggests they have the quality to quickly bounce back from setbacks and maintain their form.

Pachuca Key Players

Pachuca’s current form and league-topping performance have been bolstered by several key players. Jhonder Cadiz is the standout, leading the team with two goals this season and poised to challenge Leon’s backline. Midfield maestro Victor Guzman will be crucial in dictating the tempo and providing creative outlets, while defensively, Eduardo Bauermann and Sergio Barreto will be vital in keeping Leon’s attacking threats at bay.

Expected lineup for Pachuca:

  • Goalkeeper: Carlos Moreno
  • Defenders: Carlos Sanchez, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Alonso Aceves
  • Midfielders: Elias Montiel, William Carvalho, Alexei Domínguez, Victor Guzman, Oussama Idrissi
  • Forward: Jhonder Cadiz

Look out for the pivotal duel between Jhonder Cadiz and Leon’s defensive duo, Jaine Stiven Barreiro and Sebastian Santos. This confrontation could be decisive in determining the match’s outcome.

Pachuca Suspensions & Injuries

Pachuca face this important fixture with a notable injury concern. Andres Micolta is out with a cruciate ligament injury and is only expected to return in late August 2025. His absence is a blow to the defensive lineup and could make Pachuca more vulnerable at the back.

There are no suspensions affecting Pachuca for this match, which is a positive for Jaime Lozano’s side. The squad will need to rally and compensate for Micolta’s absence, particularly in defence where Eduardo Bauermann and Sergio Barreto will need to step up their game.

Expect Pachuca to rely heavily on their available key players to maintain their top-of-the-league form and secure a crucial away win.

Pachuca Tactics and Formation

Pachuca Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Jhonder Cadiz
  • Attacking Midfield Trio: Alexei Domínguez, Victor Guzman, Oussama Idrissi
  • Defensive Strength: Conceding only 0.8 goals on average in their last five matches

Jaime Lozano will likely deploy Pachuca in a 4-2-3-1 formation, leveraging the attacking prowess of Jhonder Cadiz upfront, supported by a creative midfield trio. Victor Guzman, as the main playmaker, will seek to exploit any defensive lapses by Leon and create scoring opportunities.

Defensively, Pachuca will rely on the solid partnership of Eduardo Bauermann and Sergio Barreto to keep Leon’s attackers at bay. The team’s disciplined defence has been a key factor, averaging just 0.8 goals conceded in recent games, which will be crucial as they aim to maintain their position at the top of the league.

Expect Pachuca to focus on dynamic midfield play and quick counter-attacks to break down Leon’s defence.

Leon vs Pachuca Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the head-to-head statistics of these two sides, their last five encounters reveal a competitive rivalry. Leon and Pachuca have faced each other across various occasions with mixed results.

  • Leon 2-1 Pachuca: 6 February 2025, Liga MX Clausura
  • Leon 0-0 Pachuca: 13 July 2024, Liga MX Apertura
  • Pachuca 3-2 Leon: 8 February 2024, Liga MX Clausura
  • Leon 4-0 Pachuca: 11 July 2023, Liga MX Apertura
  • Leon 0-1 Pachuca: 4 February 2023, Liga MX Clausura

These meetings show that Leon has managed to claim two wins, but Pachuca also has their share with a couple of victories. The match at Estadio Nou Camp often promises tight contests, with their last home encounter ending in a goalless draw. Expect another close game as both teams strive for supremacy in this Liga MX encounter.

Odds accurate as of 22.08.2025 00:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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