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Leon vs. Queretaro FC Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 31 August 2025

Leon-Queretaro FC
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Leon3 - 0Queretaro FC

As we head into Round 7 of Liga MX, Leon is set to face Queretaro FC at the iconic Estadio Nou Camp. This match holds significance as both teams look to improve their standings, with Leon currently positioned 9th and Queretaro languishing in 17th.

Leon comes into this fixture as the bookmaker favourite, with odds of 1.57 for a home win. Historically, Leon has had the upper hand over Queretaro. Given Leon’s strong home record and Queretaro’s injury woes, the recommended bet is for a home win.

Leon has managed a win and a draw in their last two matches, indicating a potential upturn in form. Queretaro, on the other hand, are struggling with consistency, having secured just one win out of their last five games.

Given these factors, it’s poised to be an intriguing battle with Leon aiming to solidify their spot in the upper half of the table while Queretaro fights to rise from the lower depths.

Leon vs Queretaro FC Prediction & Betting tip

Leon vs Queretaro FC Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Home Win for Leon 1.57

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Leon

Reasoning:

  1. Team Form and Standing: Leon is currently 9th in the standings, significantly higher than Queretaro FC, who are 17th. Leon’s recent form includes 2 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches, compared to Queretaro’s single win.
  2. Head-to-Head Advantage: In their last 5 meetings, Leon has won twice and drawn twice against Queretaro FC, including a decisive 4-0 victory in their last home encounter.
  3. Injury Concerns for Queretaro: Queretaro FC is facing several injury issues, including doubts over their top scorer, Ali Avila, which could impact their attacking capabilities.
  4. Odds Favor Leon: The odds for a home win are 1.57, indicating that bookmakers also see Leon as the favorite.

Given these factors, a home win for Leon is the most supported outcome.

Leon vs Queretaro FC Odds

This match sets the stage for an interesting betting landscape, with Leon coming in as the bookmaker’s favourite. The odds for a home win are quite favourable, underscoring their stronger position in the league standings.

Leon vs Queretaro FC Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Leon 1.57
Draw 3.90
Queretaro FC 5.21

Leon’s home advantage and their relatively better form make them the more likely victors. Queretaro’s recent inconsistency and injury issues also tilt the scales further in favour of Leon. Additionally, Leon’s better head-to-head record over Queretaro adds another layer of confidence to this prediction. These elements all point towards a likely home victory in this match.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance ()

Leon’s recent performances show a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in 2 losses, 1 win, and 2 draws. Despite this inconsistency, they managed a morale-boosting 1-1 draw against Pachuca and a crucial 1-0 win over Necaxa.

Recent Form: LLLWD

On the scoring front, Leon has been averaging 0.60 goals per match over their last five games. Defensively, they have kept just one clean sheet in this period. The team has shown a tendency to concede goals late in the game, particularly between the 76th and 90th minutes.

Upcoming Matches: Leon vs Queretaro FC

With this backdrop, they will be looking to improve their form and climb the standings.

Leon Key Players

Heading into this clash, Leon’s key player to watch is Ismael Diaz, the team’s top scorer with 2 goals this season. His sharp attacking prowess will be crucial for Leon as they look to capitalize on Queretaro’s defensive frailties.

Another significant player is Jordi Cortizo, who brings creativity and dynamism to the team’s midfield. His ability to link defense with attack will be vital in breaking through Queretaro’s lines.

Expected lineup for Leon:

  • Goalkeeper: Oscar Garcia
  • Defenders: Sebastian Santos, Jaine Barreiro, Adonis Frias, Salvador Reyes
  • Midfielders: Nicolás Fonseca, Rodrigo Echeverria, Jordi Cortizo, James Rodriguez, Ismael Diaz
  • Forward: Jose Alvarado

This lineup showcases a balanced approach, combining defensive solidity with attacking flair, making Leon a formidable opponent.

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

For the upcoming match, Leon will be without defender Valentín Gauthier, who is serving a suspension following a yellow/red card. His absence will likely force some adjustments in the defensive lineup, potentially affecting the team’s overall stability at the back.

Despite this, there are no reported injuries for Leon, which will be a relief for coach Eduardo Berizzo. The team will look to maintain their defensive cohesion and rely on their available key players to manage the game effectively against Queretaro FC.

The suspension of Gauthier means that Jaine Barreiro and Adonis Frias must step up to ensure defensive solidity.

Leon Tactics and Formation

For the upcoming match against Queretaro FC, Leon is expected to line up in a flexible 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup allows them to balance both defensive solidity and attacking dynamism.

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Jose Alvarado, expected to lead the line, providing goal-scoring opportunities.
  • Midfield Trio: Comprised of Nicolás Fonseca, Rodrigo Echeverria in defensive midfield roles, and James Rodriguez as the attacking midfielder. This trio aims to control the game’s tempo and link play effectively.
  • Defensive Strength: Despite conceding late goals, the team managed a key clean sheet against Necaxa recently.
  • Notable Strategy: Leon tends to concede goals in the 76-90 minute interval, so maintaining focus in the final stages will be crucial.

Leon’s strategy is to dominate possession and methodically break down Queretaro’s defense, capitalizing on their opponent’s injury woes.

Queretaro FC Team Analysis

Queretaro FC Recent Performance ()

Queretaro FC’s recent form has been a rollercoaster, with just one win in their last five matches. They recorded a thrilling 3-2 victory against Atletico de San Luis, but also suffered three consecutive losses prior to this.

Recent Form: LLLDW

The team has averaged 1.20 goals per game over their last five outings, which is considerably better than their current league position suggests. However, their defensive fragility is evident, with no clean sheets and an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match. Despite these challenges, the team’s fighting spirit was displayed in their recent high-scoring draw against Atlas.

Upcoming Matches: Queretaro FC vs Monterrey

Queretaro will be aiming to shore up their defense and capitalize on their scoring opportunities to turn their season around.

Queretaro FC Key Players

One of the players to watch out for in Queretaro FC is the team’s top scorer Ali Avila, although his participation remains doubtful due to a knock injury. If fit, Avila’s role in the attack could prove pivotal for Queretaro’s chances against Leon.

Another key player is Pablo Barrera, whose experience and skill can help Queretaro in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Barrera’s performance in the midfield will be critical, especially considering the absence of several key players due to injuries.

Lucas Rodriguez also deserves mention as he takes charge in the attack, aiming to capitalize on any weaknesses in Leon’s defense.

Expected lineup for Queretaro FC:

  • Goalkeeper: Guillermo Allison
  • Defenders: Omar Mendoza, Diego Reyes, Santiago Homenchenko, Francisco Venegas
  • Midfielders: Eduardo Armenta, Angel Zapata, Rodrigo Bogarin, Pablo Barrera
  • Forwards: Lucas Rodriguez, Juan Robles

This lineup will need to perform exceptionally to counter Leon’s expected offensive pressure.

Queretaro FC Suspensions & Injuries

Queretaro FC is currently grappling with several injury concerns that could significantly impact their lineup for the upcoming match against Leon. Key players like Federico Lertora (calf injury), Jesus Hernandez, Ali Avila, and Jonathan Perlaza (all due to knock injuries) are doubtful starters.

These injuries to crucial players, including their top scorer Ali Avila, could severely undermine their attacking prowess and defensive capabilities. The team will have to rely on the depth of their squad to fill these gaps, which might prove challenging against a strong opponent like Leon.

In terms of suspensions, Queretaro FC has no players currently banned, but the injuries alone pose a substantial hurdle for coach Benjamin Mora and his plans for the game.

Queretaro FC Tactics and Formation

In their upcoming match against Leon, Queretaro FC is likely to adopt a cautious and compact approach with a 4-3-3 formation. This setup aims to provide defensive solidity while offering opportunities for quick counter-attacks.

Queretaro FC Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-3-3
  • Key Forward: Lucas Rodriguez is expected to lead the line. His task will be to exploit any defensive lapses from Leon.
  • Midfield Trio: Eduardo Armenta, Angel Zapata, and Rodrigo Bogarin will need to control the midfield, mitigating Leon’s playmaking abilities and initiating counters.
  • Defensive Strength: The defensive unit led by Diego Reyes must compensate for the absences due to injuries and effectively protect their goal.
  • Notable Strategy: Despite conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, the team tends to score in the later stages, particularly in the 76-90 minute interval.

The key for Queretaro FC will be to remain disciplined at the back while capitalizing on counter-attacks and set pieces to find scoring opportunities.

Leon vs Queretaro FC Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Leon and Queretaro FC reveals a clear advantage for Leon, who have secured several convincing results.

  • 2025-04-05: Queretaro FC 1 – 1 Leon
  • 2024-10-26: Leon 4 – 0 Queretaro FC
  • 2024-04-06: Leon 0 – 2 Queretaro FC
  • 2023-09-30: Queretaro FC 1 – 1 Leon
  • 2023-02-10: Queretaro FC 0 – 3 Leon

Among these fixtures, Leon has two dominating victories, including a 4-0 home win, underscoring their capacity to exploit Queretaro’s vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Queretaro managed just one win and two draws, exhibiting their occasional ability to hold off Leon.

This head-to-head history sets the stage for an intriguing matchup, with Leon looking to extend their positive record and Queretaro aiming to reverse their fortunes. The past results suggest that Leon holds the psychological edge going into this encounter.

Odds accurate as of 29/08/2025 00:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

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