Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 24 August 2025

The early hours of 24 August 2025 promise a thrilling Liga MX encounter as Monterrey hosts Necaxa at the Estadio BBVA. Monterrey currently sit comfortably in 2nd place with 12 points, while Necaxa struggle in 12th with only 5 points. Monterrey comes into this game as the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 1.53 for a home win.

Recent form favors Monterrey, who have won four consecutive matches in the tournament, while Necaxa has managed just one win in their last five. Monterrey also have a strong historical advantage, having won their last five encounters against Necaxa.

Both teams have been leaky at the back, with no clean sheets in their last five games, but Monterrey’s offensive prowess, averaging 2.80 goals per game, suggests they might dominate. Expect goals early, as Monterrey has scored first in 75% of their last eight matches against Necaxa.

Weather and referee details remain unconfirmed, but this match is crucial for both teams aiming to improve their standings. As a betting tip, consider Monterrey to edge ahead with a -0.25 goal advantage in the first half.

Monterrey vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tip

For this clash between Monterrey and Necaxa, we recommend a bet on Monterrey to have a -0.25 goal advantage in the first half. Given Monterrey’s strong form, having won four consecutive matches in the tournament, and their offensive firepower that sees them averaging 2.80 goals per game, they’re likely to take an early lead against a struggling Necaxa team.

Monterrey vs Necaxa Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Monterrey -0.25 in 1st half (AH)	1.53

Why this betting tip is a strong choice:

• Monterrey’s Strong Form: They have won four consecutive matches in the competition.
• Necaxa’s Struggles: Necaxa has just one win in their last five games, highlighting their inconsistent form.
• Early Goals: Monterrey has a tendency to score first, having done so in 75% of their last eight games against Necaxa.

With these factors combined, Monterrey seems well-poised to gain an early advantage.

Monterrey vs Necaxa Odds

For the upcoming clash between Monterrey and Necaxa, the odds heavily favor the home team. Monterrey, sitting second in the Liga MX standings, have been in formidable form. Meanwhile, Necaxa, struggling in 12th position, face an uphill task.

Monterrey vs Necaxa Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Monterrey Win	1.53
Draw	4.25
Necaxa Win	5.09

These odds reflect Monterrey’s superior form and home advantage. Their offensive calibre, averaging 2.80 goals per game, and that they are yet to lose in the tournament, makes them the clear favourites.

In contrast, Necaxa has only secured one victory in their last five matches and consistently struggles against Monterrey historically. Expect Monterrey to dominate, particularly in the first half, aligning with the recommended betting tip of Monterrey -0.25 goal advantage in the first half.

Monterrey Team Analysis

Monterrey Recent Performance ()

Monterrey have demonstrated strong form in their recent outings, boasting a record of three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent results include:

• Monterrey 3-2 Mazatlán FC (Win)
• León 1-3 Monterrey (Win)
• Monterrey 0-2 Charlotte FC (Loss)
• Monterrey 1-1 New York Red Bulls (Win via Penalty shoot-out)
• Monterrey 2-3 FC Cincinnati (Loss)

The team has been an offensive powerhouse, averaging 2.80 goals per game across their last five encounters. However, they’ve struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in the same period. This attacking efficiency, combined with their high-ranking position, underscores why they are favourites heading into the match.

Considering these factors, along with their solid form and high-scoring capabilities, Monterrey looks well-prepared to continue their winning streak against Necaxa.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey possess a wealth of talent that has driven their impressive form in Liga MX. Their top scorer, Germán Berterame, has already netted 4 goals this season, demonstrating his prowess in front of goal. Accompanying him, the prolific Jesús Manuel Corona leads the line, promising to be a handful for any defence.

Sergio Canales, playing in the attacking midfield role, is another key figure, consistently creating opportunities and linking up play effectively. Flanking him on the wings, Lucas Ocampos and Oliver Torres offer pace and creativity, crucial for penetrating any defensive setup.

Defensively, they are anchored by the experienced Sergio Ramos and Víctor Guzmán, adding resilience at the back. Despite not maintaining clean sheets in their last few matches, this defensive line remains crucial to the team’s success.

Expected lineup for Monterrey:

• Goalkeeper: Santiago Mele
• Defenders: Ricardo Chávez, Víctor Guzmán, Sergio Ramos, Luis Ricardo Reyes
• Midfielders: Jorge Rodríguez, Oliver Torres, Germán Berterame, Sergio Canales, Lucas Ariel Ocampos
• Forwards: Jesús Manuel Corona

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey will be missing a few key players due to injuries. Carlos Salcedo is currently sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return late in August 2025. Additionally, Esteban Andrada is doubtful for the upcoming match due to an elbow injury.

While these absences are undoubtedly significant, Monterrey’s depth in the squad helps mitigate these losses. The defensive quartet of Ricardo Chávez, Víctor Guzmán, Sergio Ramos, and Luis Ricardo Reyes are still solid options to compensate for Salcedo’s absence. Santiago Mele is likely to continue in goal, covering for the potentially absent Andrada.

These injuries might slightly impact the team’s ability to keep a clean sheet, which they’ve struggled with recently. However, the overall quality and depth of Monterrey’s squad should suffice to maintain their strong performance.

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey, under the guidance of coach Domènec Torrent, have showcased a flexible and attacking style of play. Their recent formations indicate a tactical diversity tailored to exploit opponents’ weaknesses. Here’s a breakdown of their common tactics:

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly using 4-2-3-1, occasionally transitioning to 4-5-1 or 3-4-3 based on match circumstances.
• Key Forward: Jesús Manuel Corona spearheads the attack, providing experience and clinical finishing capability.
• Midfield Trio: Sergio Canales in the attacking midfield, supported by Oliver Torres and Jorge Rodríguez, balances creativity and defensive stability.
• Defensive Scheme: Although they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five games, the presence of veterans like Sergio Ramos bolsters their backline.
• Notable Strategy: The team tends to dominate early, often scoring first, which is highlighted by their 75% success rate in netting the opening goal against Necaxa in past encounters.

Monterrey’s tactical flexibility and attacking prowess make them formidable, especially at home.

Necaxa Team Analysis

Necaxa Recent Performance ()

Necaxa have had a turbulent run recently, with only one victory in their last five matches, giving them a form sequence of WLLDL. Their recent results include:

• Necaxa 0-1 León (Loss)
• Club Universidad Nacional 1-1 Necaxa (Draw)
• Orlando City 5-1 Necaxa (Loss)
• Inter Miami CF 2-2 Necaxa (Loss via Penalty shoot-out)
• Necaxa 3-1 Atlanta United (Win)

Offensively, Necaxa has averaged 2.20 goals per game in their last five fixtures, although their defence has been equally porous, failing to keep a single clean sheet. This inconsistency and defensive frailty are key reasons for their struggles this season, reflected in their 12th position in the standings.

As they prepare to face Monterrey, Necaxa will need to tighten up at the back and find consistency in their performances to have any chance of securing a positive result.

Necaxa Key Players

Necaxa will rely heavily on a few standout players if they are to challenge Monterrey. Their top scorer, Pavel Pérez, has been a bright spot with 2 goals so far this season. His creativity and finishing ability remain crucial for Necaxa’s attack.

Another key player is Agustín Palavecino, who plays a pivotal role in the midfield, providing balance and distribution essential for transitioning from defence to attack. At the back, the experienced Diego De Buen anchors the defence and will need to be at his best to counter Monterrey’s strong offensive lineup.

Expected lineup for Necaxa:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
• Defenders: Tomás Jacob, Alexis Peña, Diego De Buen, Franco Rossano
• Midfielders: Kevin Rosero, José Iván Rodríguez, Agustín Palavecino, Pavel Uriel Pérez
• Forwards: Diber Cambindo, Johan Rojas

These players will need to bring their A-game to stand a chance against Monterrey’s attacking firepower and consistent home dominance.

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa will be dealing with a couple of injury setbacks for this upcoming clash against Monterrey. Emilio Lara is recovering from an elbow injury, with a potential return expected in late August 2025. Additionally, Cristian Calderón is doubtful due to a groin injury.

These injuries will put some strain on Necaxa’s defensive setup, reducing their depth and potentially impacting their defensive solidity. Emilio Lara and Cristian Calderón are critical players, and their absence could lead to a reshuffled and potentially less cohesive back line.

Given that Necaxa has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five games, these absences could further expose them to Monterrey’s potent attack. Necaxa will need their remaining defenders and backup options to step up and deliver strong performances to counter Monterrey’s attacking prowess.

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Despite their recent struggles, Necaxa, under coach Fernando Gago, aim to be competitive with a flexible and adaptable strategy. Here’s a breakdown of their tactical setup:

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Typically lining up in a 4-4-2, but have also experimented with formations such as 4-1-4-1 and 3-1-4-2.
• Key Forward: Diber Cambindo is expected to lead the attack, leveraging his pace and finishing abilities.
• Midfield Strategy: The midfield quartet led by Agustín Palavecino and Pavel Pérez focuses on creating transitions from defence to attack, with Kevin Rosero and José Iván Rodríguez adding width and defensive support.
• Defensive Scheme: A backline anchored by Diego De Buen and Alexis Peña, though recent injuries mean defensive solidity remains a concern.
• Notable Strategy: Necaxa often finds their scoring opportunities in the 16-30 minute interval, signifying an early push to catch opponents off-guard.

Necaxa’s tactical approach will require discipline and coordination, especially in defending against Monterrey’s high-scoring forwards.

Monterrey vs Necaxa Head-to-Head Statistics

In analysing the last five meetings between Monterrey and Necaxa, Monterrey holds a clear upper hand. Their recent encounters are as follows:

• Monterrey 1-0 Necaxa (2025-02-02, Liga MX Clausura)
• Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey (2024-07-18, Liga MX Apertura)
• Necaxa 2-5 Monterrey (2024-04-29, Liga MX Clausura)
• Monterrey 3-0 Necaxa (2023-11-01, Liga MX Apertura)
• Monterrey 2-1 Necaxa (2023-02-18, Liga MX Clausura)

Monterrey has won all these matches, demonstrating their dominance in this fixture. Consistently, they have managed to score first in 75% of these encounters, indicating an ability to start strong against Necaxa.

Their ability to maintain a lead once in front has contributed to their robust record against Necaxa. These past results bolster Monterrey’s confidence as they head into their upcoming clash, suggesting that they are well-positioned to continue their winning streak against their familiar opponents.

Odds accurate as of 22.08.2025 02:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.