Puebla vs. Monterrey Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 August 2025

The upcoming clash between Puebla and Monterrey at Estadio Cuahutehmoc is more crucial than it seems at first glance. Monterrey, sitting comfortably at the top of the Liga MX standings, will face a struggling Puebla side that is lingering at the bottom. With Monterrey winning their last five matches and showing strong offensive prowess, they are the bookmaker’s favourites for this encounter.

Puebla has had a tough season, with just one win in their last five games and crucial players nursing injuries. Monterrey’s attacking unit, led by top scorer Germán Berterame, is expected to dominate, given their impressive goal-scoring rate of 3.00 per game.

Playing at home might give Puebla a slight morale boost, but Monterrey’s superior form and depth make them the recommended bet for the win. Expect a competitive match with Monterrey likely to secure three points.

Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Monterrey to Win

Reasoning:

1. Current Form and Standings:
   • Monterrey is in excellent form, winning their last 5 matches and currently standing 1st in the league.
   • Puebla is struggling, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches and sitting at the bottom of the standings (18th).
2. Scoring and Defense:
   • Monterrey has a strong offensive record, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per match, while Puebla has only managed 1.00 goals per match.
   • Defensively, Monterrey concedes just 1.00 goals per match compared to Puebla’s 2.20, highlighting a significant defensive advantage.
3. Injury Impact:
   • Puebla is dealing with significant injuries to key players, which further weakens their chances against a well-rounded Monterrey squad.

Puebla vs Monterrey Odds

This Liga MX clash sees Monterrey as the clear favourites according to the bookmakers. Let’s break down the odds for each possible outcome.

The odds illustrate Monterrey’s dominance and current form. Their odds of 1.74 for a win reflect their strong position at the top of the league and recent winning streak. On the flip side, Puebla’s odds of 4.09 highlight their struggles this season, sitting at the bottom of the standings with only one win in their last five matches.

With Monterrey’s impressive goal-scoring record of 3.00 goals per game and Puebla’s injury woes, the odds are heavily stacked in favour of an away victory.

Puebla Team Analysis

Puebla Recent Performance

Puebla has had a tough run recently, securing only one win in their last five matches. Here’s a deeper look into their latest outings:

• Club Universidad Nacional 0 – 0 Puebla
• Seattle Sounders FC 0 – 0 Puebla (Penalty shoot-out: 4 – 3)
• Puebla 0 – 2 Atlético de San Luis
• Tigres 7 – 0 Puebla
• CF Montreal 1 – 2 Puebla

Their recent form reads as WLLLD, indicating just 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws.

Puebla has been struggling offensively, averaging only 1.00 goal per match and facing difficulty in maintaining clean sheets, managing just one in their last five games. Defensive issues are evident, highlighted by their 7-0 defeat to Tigres.

These statistics underline their challenges, which become even more pronounced with key injuries to players like Fernando Aristeguieta and Lucas Cavallini.

Puebla Key Players

For Puebla, the spotlight will likely be on their top scorer, Ricardo Marín, who has scored 1 goal this season. Despite the goal-scoring struggles, Marín’s performance upfront will be crucial. Also, Emiliano Gómez, deployed as a left forward, has shown potential and could be a key figure in breaking Monterrey’s defence.

Puebla’s expected lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Julio González
• Defenders: Efraín Orona, Juan Federov, José Pachuca
• Midfielders: Jesús Rivas, Miguel Ramírez, Ariel Gamarra, Nicolás Díaz
• Forwards: Alejandro Organista, Esteban Lozano, Emiliano Gómez

A key battle to watch will be between Marín and Monterrey’s centre-back pairing of Stefan Medina and Sergio Ramos. This clash could sway the game in Puebla’s favour, provided they can break Monterrey’s defensive resilience.

Puebla Suspensions & Injuries

Puebla is facing significant challenges with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Fernando Aristeguieta is out with a broken foot, and his return is uncertain. Lucas Cavallini, suffering from a cruciate ligament injury, is not expected back until late March 2026. Additionally, Edgar Guerra, dealing with a knock injury, remains doubtful for this match.

These absences are notable setbacks for Puebla, especially in their offensive and midfield departments. Aristeguieta and Cavallini’s injuries mean the team loses pivotal attacking options, putting more pressure on less experienced players to step up. Their injury list undoubtedly weakens their squad depth and could heavily impact their performance against a strong Monterrey side.

Puebla Tactics and Formation

Puebla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Ricardo Marín
• Midfield Quartet: Jesús Rivas, Miguel Ramírez, Ariel Gamarra, Nicolás Díaz
• Defensive Record: One clean sheet in their last five games
• Notable Strategy: Puebla tends to gather their composure and attempt to build their attack from the wings, utilizing their midfielders to create opportunities upfront.

Puebla’s tactical approach usually involves a 3-4-3 formation, focusing on wing play to cut through the opposition’s defence. Despite their defensive struggles, particularly evident in their heavy 7-0 defeat to Tigres, the team has shown moments of resilience, like their recent clean sheet against Club Universidad Nacional.

With key players like Ricardo Marín expected to lead the attack, Puebla will need to capitalize on every opportunity to break through Monterrey’s formidable defence.

Monterrey Team Analysis

Monterrey Recent Performance

Monterrey has been in excellent form recently, securing victories in four of their last five matches. Here’s a closer look at their recent performances:

• Monterrey 3 – 0 Necaxa
• Monterrey 3 – 2 Mazatlán FC
• León 1 – 3 Monterrey
• Monterrey 0 – 2 Charlotte FC
• Monterrey 1 – 1 New York Red Bulls (Penalty shootout: 5 – 3)

Their recent form reads as WLWWW, indicating 4 wins, 1 loss, and 0 draws. Monterrey has been impressive offensively, averaging 3.00 goals per match, while maintaining one clean sheet in their last five games.

This strong run of form, combined with a solid defensive setup, highlights Monterrey’s dominance and resilience this season. These performances have solidified their position at the top of the standings, making them a formidable opponent for any team.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey boasts a squad filled with significant talent, making them a difficult team to beat. Their top scorer, Germán Berterame, has already netted 4 goals this season and will be a crucial figure in their attack. Sergio Canales, playing as an attacking midfielder, has been in fine form, providing key assists and orchestrating play from the middle.

Monterrey’s expected lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Santiago Mele
• Defenders: Erick Aguirre, Stefan Medina, Sergio Ramos, Gerardo Arteaga
• Midfielders: Jorge Rodríguez, Fidel Ambriz, Jesús Manuel Corona, Sergio Canales, Lucas Ariel Ocampos
• Forward: Germán Berterame

Key individual battles to watch include Berterame taking on Puebla’s central defense, particularly Juan Federov and José Pachuca. This match-up could define Monterrey’s effectiveness in breaking through Puebla’s defensive setup.

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey is relatively fortunate with only a few critical injuries to manage ahead of this clash. Carlos Salcedo is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return in early September 2025. In addition, Esteban Andrada is nursing an elbow injury, and his participation remains doubtful, which necessitates reliance on Santiago Mele in goal. Víctor Andrés Guzmán is also doubtful due to a muscle injury.

While these injuries may slightly impact Monterrey’s depth, the team has shown resilience, particularly with their solid defensive and offensive setup. The core squad remains intact, and the depth within their ranks should enable them to cover these absences without a substantial drop in performance.

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Germán Berterame
• Midfield Quartet: Jorge Rodríguez, Fidel Ambriz, Jesús Manuel Corona, Lucas Ariel Ocampos
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in their last five games
• Notable Strategy: Monterrey favours a high-pressing game with a solid defensive unit that’s difficult to break down, coupled with swift transitional play

Monterrey’s tactical approach usually involves a 4-2-3-1 formation. They focus on maintaining possession and breaking down defences with their creative midfield led by Sergio Canales. The wide areas are also crucial as Jesús Manuel Corona and Lucas Ariel Ocampos provide width and crossing options for their forwards.

With a robust spine, Monterrey’s defensive strategy has been effective, allowing them to remain compact and cover spaces efficiently. Their high scoring rate showcases their ability to exploit defensive lapses, which will be instrumental against a struggling Puebla side.

Puebla vs Monterrey Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, Monterrey has dominated the matchups against Puebla, boasting a superior record with three wins and two draws. Here’s a breakdown of their recent encounters:

• Monterrey 1 – 1 Puebla (2025-01-13, Liga MX Clausura)
• Puebla 1 – 2 Monterrey (2024-08-17, Liga MX Apertura)
• Monterrey 2 – 0 Puebla (2024-01-14, Liga MX Clausura)
• Puebla 1 – 1 Monterrey (2023-10-04, Liga MX Apertura)
• Puebla 1 – 2 Monterrey (2023-01-28, Liga MX Clausura)

Historically, Monterrey has had the upper hand, scoring consistently in these fixtures. Their ability to find the net in 83% of their matches this season further solidifies their attacking strength. Puebla, on the other hand, has struggled to keep up, as reflected in their position at the bottom of the table and their challenges in maintaining clean sheets.

Odds accurate as of 28.08.2025 04:03, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.